'Very likely': WHO makes bleak coronavirus prediction

The global death toll from COVID-19 could double to two million before a successful vaccine is widely used and could be even higher without concerted action to curb the pandemic, an official at the World Health Organisation says.

"Unless we do it all, (two million deaths)... is not only imaginable, but, sadly, very likely," Mike Ryan, head of the UN agency's emergencies program, told a briefing on Friday.

The number of deaths about nine months since the coronavirus was detected in China is nearing 1 million.

A photo shows Mike Ryan, head of the UN agency's emergencies program.
Mike Ryan, head of the UN agency's emergencies program, said it was "very likely" the death toll would reach two million. Source: Getty Images

"We are not out of the woods anywhere, we are not out of the woods in Africa," Dr Ryan said.

He said young people should not be blamed for a recent increase in infections despite growing concerns they were driving its spread after restrictions and lockdowns were eased around the world.

"I really hope we don't get into finger-wagging: 'It's all because of the youth'," Dr Ryan said.

"The last thing a young person needs is an old person pontificating and wagging the finger."

Rather, indoor gatherings of people of all ages were driving the epidemic, he said.

The WHO is continuing talks with China about its possible involvement in the COVAX financing scheme designed to guarantee fast and equitable access globally to COVID-19 vaccines, a week after the deadline for committing passed.

"We're in discussions with China about the role they may play as we go forward," Bruce Aylward, WHO senior adviser and head of the ACT-Accelerator program to back vaccines, treatments and diagnostics against COVID-19, said.

He confirmed Taiwan had signed up to the scheme, even though it was not a WHO member, bringing the total to 159 participants. Another 34 are still deciding.

A photo shows a crowd of people, some wearing face masks, walking in Sydney, Australia.
The WHO is continuing talks with China about its possible involvement in COVID-19 vaccines. Source: Getty Images

Talks with China also include discussion of the world's second-largest economy potentially supplying vaccines to the scheme, he said.

Earlier on Friday, a Chinese health official said the WHO had given its support for the country to start administering experimental coronavirus vaccines to people even while clinical trials were still underway.

More than 32.33 million people have been reported to be infected by the coronavirus globally and 983,167​ have died, according to a Reuters tally.

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