'Tragic premonition': Dire Covid warning for region as second wave fears spike

As winter nears and coronavirus cases surge across the Middle East, the regional director for the World Health Organisation said Thursday that the only way to avoid mass deaths is for countries to quickly tighten restrictions and enforce preventative measures.

In a press briefing from Cairo, Ahmed al-Mandhari, director of WHO’s eastern Mediterranean region, which comprises most of the Middle East, expressed concern that countries in the area were lowering their guard after tough lockdowns imposed earlier this year.

The fundamentals of pandemic response, from social-distancing to mask wearing, “are still not being fully practiced in our region,” he said, adding that the result is apparent throughout the region’s crowded hospitals.

Noting that the virus had sickened over 3.6 million people and killed more than 76,000 in the region over the past nine months, al-Mandhari warned “the lives of as many people — if not more — are at stake,” urging action to “prevent this tragic premonition from becoming a reality.”

Several people are seen wearing face masks on a street in Iran.
Countries in the Middle East, including Iran, have been issued a harsh warning by global health officials. Source: AP

More than 60 per cent of all new infections in the past week were reported from Iran, Jordan and Morocco, he said.

Cases are also up in Pakistan and Lebanon, which went under lockdown earlier this week.

Jordan, Tunisia and Lebanon have reported the biggest single-day death spikes from the region.

Iran worst hit by coronavirus in region

Worst off in the region has been Iran, where infections have soared in recent months, filling up hospitals and driving up the death toll.

Iran shattered its single-day death toll six times in the last two weeks, bringing the total count of fatalities past 43,400 — the highest in the Middle East.

Surging deaths have pushed the Iranian government, long reluctant to impose a lockdown for fear of cratering its sanctions-hit economy, to tighten restrictions in the capital of Tehran and other major cities.

A man and a woman seen wearing coronavirus face masks in a street in Iran.
There are fears a second wave of coronavirus in the Middle East could be worse than the first. Source: Getty

But with little enforcement, the outbreak shows no sign of abating.

Fears second Covid wave will be worse than the first

From Pakistan, Faisal Sultan, special assistant to the prime minister for national health services, told reporters the winter surge had arrived.

Although Pakistan managed to control the outbreak with targeted restrictions earlier this year, the forecast turned more alarming as the country unlocked, he said.

“The second wave is just as risky if not more than the first,” Sultan said, adding that winter in Pakistan brings an increase in social interaction, with schools, events and wedding parties in full swing.

“There is a sense of complacency and fatigue in compliance.”

Cases soar after coronavirus restrictions loosened

Tunisia is another country that thought its worst virus days were in the past, only to see cases soar in recent weeks.

It loosened restrictions in a bid “to cautiously coexist” with the virus, said Faycal Ben Salah, director general of health, after officials decided the lockdown was killing the economy and creating “catastrophic social consequences.”

While al-Mandhari cautiously welcomed news of viable vaccine candidates, he said the pandemic was far from over.

“We cannot — and should not — wait until a safe and effective vaccine becomes readily available for all,” he said.

“We simply do not know when this will be.”

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