Mexico’s Ruling Party Candidate Is Set for Landslide, Poll Finds

(Bloomberg) -- Ruling party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum is on course for a landslide in Mexico’s presidential election after consolidating her lead over rivals, according to a new poll.

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The Morena party nominee would get 58% of the vote, according to the survey conducted by Reforma newspaper, up from 54% in December.

Sheinbaum’s closest rival in the June 2 election, opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez, would get 34%, the poll found.

Nevertheless, Morena would get only 46% of votes for members of the lower house of congress, while opposition parties PAN and PRI would each get 15%, according to the survey.

Movimiento Ciudadano, a smaller opposition party, would get 8% of the legislative vote. A split congress could make it harder for Sheinbaum to implement her agenda, if elected.

Read more: Sheinbaum Aide Sees ‘Gigantic’ Capital Needs for Mexican Energy

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s approval rating rose to 73%, the highest level since 2019, making him one of Latin America’s most popular leaders.

The poll of 1,000 people was conducted between March 6 and 12 and has a margin of error of 4.3%.

--With assistance from Robert Jameson.

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