General Election 2024 London seats: Who will be my MP in....Bromley and Biggin Hill?

Conservative Peter Fortune who is vying against Labour’s Oana Olaru-Holmes to be the MP for the new constituency of Bromley and Biggin Hill (ES Composite)
Conservative Peter Fortune who is vying against Labour’s Oana Olaru-Holmes to be the MP for the new constituency of Bromley and Biggin Hill (ES Composite)

Millions of voters across London will go to the polls on July 4 to elect the new Government. The Standard is looking at key battleground seats in the capital. Here we turn the spotlight on:

BROMLEY AND BIGGIN HILL

Candidates for main parties (in alphabetical order):

Alan Cook - Reform UK

Peter Fortune - Conservative

Julie Ireland - Liberal Democrats

Oana Olaru-Holmes - Labour Party

Caroline Sandes - Green Party

Summary: This new constituency carved out in South East London is a difficult one to call.

The affluent suburban seat of Bromley and Chislehurst was held by Conservative MP Sir Bob Neill but he has stood down.

Sir Bob was a centrist, Europhile MP, who stood up against the Right of the Tory Party, defeated UKIP’s Nigel Farage in 2006, and chaired the Commons justice committee.

His departure after 14 years in the Commons means that the Tories are likely to face a more difficult fight to hold onto this new seat which stretches from the borders of Lewisham in the north to Tandridge in the south.

It is also a wealthy constituency with the average house price just under £600,000 last year, according to the Centre for Cities.

Area: The constituency’s wards include Bickley , Biggin Hill, Bromley Common and Keston, Bromley Town, Darwin (part of), Hayes and Coney Hall, Plaistow, and Sundridge

I’m not sure if I’m in this constituency: Here’s how you can check

Bromley and Biggin Hill constituency map: Purple shaded area old constituency boundary. Green outlines new constituency boundaries (bottom left) (© OpenStreetMap contributors | © CARTO)
Bromley and Biggin Hill constituency map: Purple shaded area old constituency boundary. Green outlines new constituency boundaries (bottom left) (© OpenStreetMap contributors | © CARTO)

Boundary changes impact (Thrasher and Rallings analysis): Boundary changes make this new seat more of a Conservative one than the old Bromley and Chislehurst constituency. The Tories won the latter with 52.6 per cent of the vote in 2019, followed by Labour on 28.7 per cent, and the Lib Dems 14.5 per cent. The new seat would have been 54.5 per cent Conservative, 25.1 per cent Labour and 16 per cent Lib Dem.

YouGov MRP poll prediction: Labour gain from Tories

Evening Standard view: The Bromley and Chislehurst constituency was held by the Tories, often with a hefty majority, since its creation in 1997. It’s hard to see this corner of south east London turning Red, but not impossible.

Click below to see more key seats across London: