Ukrainian Defense Forces brace against Russian offensive in Avdiivka


The Russian forces are trying to “cut the logistical supply artery in Avdiivka and ensure an operational encirclement,” Tavria Defense Forces spokesman Dmytro Lykhoviy said on national television Feb. 12.

“The situation is dynamic. We see the enemy’s intentions,” he said, adding that “the line of contact is not moving in one direction, as it may appear to some.”

According to Lykhoviy, the enemy previously employed the tactic of small infantry groups, but has recently increased the use of armored vehicles, including tanks and infantry fighting vehicles.

British Defense Ministry’s intelligence has previously indicated that Russia is likely to continue its offensive near Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast, in the coming weeks and will make extensive use of tactical aircraft to support its troops.

Read also: UK military intel report: Russia to escalate Avdiivka offensive with airstrikes despite setbacks

On Jan. 27, British intelligence suggested that the Russians would not occupy Avdiivka, Donetsk region, in the coming weeks because the main supply route to the city was still under Ukrainian control and counterattacks by the defense forces were slowing the Russian advance.

Russian forces recently made a confirmed advance in southern Avdiivka and reportedly made further advances in northern Avdiivka, the U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote in a Feb. 10 report.

Russian sources claimed that Russian forces hold positions roughly 700 meters from Ukraine’s alleged main ground line of communication (GLOC) in Avdiivka along Hrushevskoho Street, which is largely consistent with ISW’s assessment of Russian advances in the area.

The Russian offensive in Avdiivka began to intensify in October 2023.

Read also: ISW reports Russian advance in Avdiivka: Enemy 700 meters from Ukraine's main ground line of communication

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