The West

Will the last South Korean turn out the light?
More than 2.5 million people live in Daegu, South Korea's third largest city.

South Korea is not only predicting its own demise, but pinpointing the exact year - 2750 - it will cease to exist.

The Telegraph website in Britain reports that South Korea's falling fertility rate makes it vulnerable to "extinction".

The National Assembly Research Service in Seoul found that the national fertility rate was 1.19 children per woman in 2013, well short of the birth rate required to sustain the current population of 50 million.

The research service model predicted that if the trend continued, the population would dip to 40 million in 2056, 10 million in 2136 and eventually no South Koreans by 2750.

Seoul has close to 10 million residents today. Picture: Getty

The research, which was conducted by a government agency by request of opposition politician Yang Seung-jo, suggests some areas would feel the affects of a declining population before others.

The country's second largest city, Busan, has a population of more than 3.5 million, but that could all change.

By 2413, the southern port could become the first city to be void of occupants, indicating larger cities would feel the impact of the declining population first.

The last survivor of Seoul, which boasts close to 10 million residents today, could be born in 2505, according to the report.

The model does not take into account changes to Korean immigration policy.

In 2006, David Coleman of Oxford University warned that the country's low birthrate was so serious that it faced becoming the first nation in the world to become extinct.

South Korea is among several Asian nations, including China, Taiwan, Singapore and notably Japan, which face similar birth-rate decline.

Yet countries including the US and Germany have effectively thwarted low birth rates through immigration.

Morning news break – September 02

The West Australian

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