The Qantas headline loss of $2.8 billion announced today is sobering but necessary as the airline strives to clear the deck to restructure for today’s much tougher operating environment.
While it is the worst result in Australian aviation history it appears that the worst is over and clearer skies are ahead.
The airline is forecasting that it will return to profit in the current financial year.
The good news for staff is that there will be no new job losses above the 5000 announced earlier this year and the airline will not sell its frequent flyer program.
While many want Qantas chief executive Alan Joyce to resign, analysts appear to be supporting the airline’s strategy.
Besides, anyone delivering the tough medicine that Mr Joyce has to would be extremely unpopular.
Qantas has been battling many problems – mostly the result of previous management errors.
Australian travellers have been deserting the airline for years.
Initially it was because of cabin offerings. Malaysia, Singapore Airlines and Cathay Pacific started offering free drinks in the late 1960s. Qantas and other airlines reluctantly followed.
Inthe early 1990s, Singapore Airlines led the way with seatback videos for economy passengers.
Emirates and Virgin Atlantic were also early adopters of entertainment for all.
Qantas was not.
The airline also turned its back on premium economy, saying it could not “make the business case”, despite the fact that Australians are the second tallest people in the world behind the Dutch and fly the longest distances after the Kiwis.
Premium economy is a no-brainer, as the airline has now discovered, just as Business Class was when Qantas was first to introduce it in 1979.
Internationally, Qantas faces unprecedented competition from a host of airlines such as AirAsia, Etihad Airways, Cathay Pacific Airways, Singapore Airlines and Air New Zealand which have lower costs and/or better products for passengers.
For years Qantas has traded on – and charged a premium for – its superb safety record. In the movie Rain Man, Dustin Hoffman, playing Raymond Babbitt, uttered the now famous words that “Qantas never crashes”.
The movie came out in 1988 at a time when Qantas was at the top of its game with well over 40 per cent of the traffic into and out of Australia.
Government policy protected the national carrier from foreign competition. An airline which taxpayers owned and which was selling tickets at a premium to adoring travellers at a time when well-known airlines such as Pan Am, Alitalia, Korean Air, and Continental Airlines were having many accidents. In 1989 there were 231 accidents and incidents, which made Qantas’ unblemished record shine.
The landscape is starkly different today with most of its competitors boasting fatality free records over the past 20 years.
Qantas' immediate danger is the emergence of rival Virgin Australia, with lower staff costs and greater productivity.
Much has been said about Qantas’s staff efficiency but the debate must also be about all of Australia’s work practices and salary perks such as weekend and penalty pay rates, 17.5 per cent leave loading and anachronistic benefits such as long service leave.
But changing work practices and increasing efficiency will only come if Qantas can change its culture and that is a far bigger task.
Successive management teams have sidestepped taking on the more militant unions to address gross inefficiencies and ludicrous perks which dog the airline.
Over the past 10 years, the launch of low cost Jetstar and a monopoly in the domestic business class market courtesy of the demise of Ansett, have masked the need for massive restructure.
But that has all changed.
And it now appears that Qantas is changing and that change is gaining momentum.
New products will soon be rolled out, the fleet has been streamlined and over 250 separate projects are underway to cut out $2 billion from its cost base.
It appears that blue skies may be returning to the flying kangaroo but the staff must get behind and support Mr Joyce.