Russia gains ground near Avdiivka, Robotyne, Svatove, and Oleshky — ISW report

On May 1, 2024, a Ukrainian artilleryman from the 148th Separate Artillery Brigade of the Ukrainian forces fires from an M777 howitzer at Russian forces in Donetsk Oblast
On May 1, 2024, a Ukrainian artilleryman from the 148th Separate Artillery Brigade of the Ukrainian forces fires from an M777 howitzer at Russian forces in Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces recently made confirmed advances northwest of Svatove (Luhansk Oblast), near Avdiivka (Donetsk Oblast), in Robotyne (Zaporizhzhya Oblast), and in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast, U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War reported on May 6.

Luhansk Oblast near the border with Kharkiv: Russian forces recently marginally advanced northwest of Svatove amid continued ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line. Geolocated footage from May 5 and 6 shows that Russian forces marginally advanced east of Stelmakhivka and south of Krokhmalne (both northwest of Svatove), respectively, and a Russian milblogger reported that Russian forces advanced 300 meters on the eastern outskirts of Stelmakhivka. Russian forces allegedly captured Kotlyarivka (northwest of Svatove), and Russian milbloggers subsequently claimed that the capture of Kotlyarivka allowed the Russian 1st Guards Tank Army units to completely seize Kyslivka (northwest of Svatove), the Russian Defense Ministry said on May 6. However, ISW has not observed visual confirmation of these claims.

Russian milbloggers previously claimed that Russian forces captured Kyslivka on April 27.

<span class="copyright">ISW</span>
ISW

Donetsk Oblast: Russian forces recently advanced southwest of Avdiivka amid continued offensive operations west of the settlement. Geolocated footage published on May 6 shows that Russian forces advanced along the E50 highway in eastern Netaylove (southwest of Avdiivka). Ukrainian and Russian sources reported that fighting continued in Netaylove. Russian milbloggers also claimed that Russian forces advanced east of Novopokrovske (northwest of Avdiivka) up to two kilometers and that Russian forces reached the outskirts of Novooleksandrivka (northwest of Ocheretyne and about 15km northwest of Avdiivka), although ISW has not yet observed confirmed Russian advances in these areas. One milblogger claimed that Russian forces advanced in the residential area in eastern Umanske (west of Avdiivka). Russian milbloggers additionally claimed that Russian forces are attacking towards Kalynove from positions in Arkhanhelske (both north of Avdiivka).

<span class="copyright">ISW</span>
ISW

The Ukrainian General Staff reported continued Russian attacks:

  • northwest of Avdiivka near Novooleksandrivka and Novoprokovske

  • west of Avdiivka near Umanske and Yasnobrodivka

  • southwest of Avdiivka near Netaylove and Nevelske

<span class="copyright">ISW</span>
ISW

Zaporizhzhya Oblast: Russian forces advanced in southern Robotyne as shown in geolocated footage on May 6. Ukrainian and Russian sources stated that positional engagements continued in Robotyne. A Russian milblogger claimed that part of Robotyne is a contested "gray zone."

<span class="copyright">ISW</span>
ISW

The Ukrainian Armed Forces foothold on the left bank of Kherson Oblast: geolocated footage from May 6 indicates Russian troop advances north of Oleshky (southeast of Kherson). Positional engagements continued near Krynky. Russian forces are using up to 300 strike drones per day against Ukrainian positions throughout southern Ukraine, said Ukraine's Southern Defense Forces spokesman, Dmytro Pletenchuk. Russian forces are trying to gain control over Nestryha Island in the Dnipro River Delta (southwest of Kherson) and are suffering significant losses, Pletenchuk said. A Russian source claimed that Nestryha Island is a contested "gray zone" and that high water levels are complicating any offensive operations to establish control over the islands in the Dnipro River Delta. A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces are increasingly conducting guided glide bomb strikes against west (right) bank Kherson Oblast.

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