Poll spells big trouble for Albo in key state

An exclusive Newspoll for The Australian shows Labor’s primary vote has fallen to 30 per cent in NSW for the first time since 2013, with a swing against the government that could unseat as many as four federal MPs.

The historic low was driven by disgruntlement among middle-aged voters and ethnic communities.

NSW already has the largest contingent of independent MPs.

But a rise in independent candidates in targeting Labor in Sydney’s west, such as the Muslim Vote movement, is presenting a fresh challenge for the government.

PRIME MINISTER
The federal government is under pressure from a shift toward independents in Australia’s most populous state. Picture: NewsWire / Martin Ollman

The electoral authority’s abolishment of the Teal seat of North Sydney is also shaking up the voter mix in Sydney’s highly marginal north, with the Labor-held seat of Bennelong absorbing some of the 100,000 voters along with the Liberal seat of Bradfield and independent-held Warringah at next federal election.

Primary support for the Coalition remained higher in NSW, sitting at 38 per cent.

On a two-party preferred basis, Labor and the Coalition were neck and neck.

More to come.