New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern is on track for a second term but likely to fail on a measure she's set herself for successful government.
An estimated more than one million Kiwis have already cast advance votes in the October 17 election, which every poll for the last five months has Labour winning.
But the price could be paid by its coalition partners, New Zealand First and the Greens.
NZ First, the party of Deputy PM Winston Peters, has slumped in polling and is not expected to return to parliament, a disaster which would surely spell the end of Mr Peters' four-decade long political career.
Under New Zealand's mixed-member proportionate (MMP) electoral system, parties need to either win an electorate or five per cent of the party vote to sit in parliament.
The Greens, in parliament since 1993, could also miss out.
The left-wingers recorded just six per cent support in the last TVNZ poll and typically do worse in their election result than their latest polling.
In an interview with Australian Associated Press, Ms Ardern said she decided early in her tenure the return of her governing partners was a personal goal.
"I've always said I saw a mark of success as their ability to maintain their personal stocks," she said.
"It's too early to judge whether or not that will be produced. In the election period, usually, we do see a rise in the stocks of the smaller parties.
"I still take as a piece of reflection of my ability to have managed a coalition well if we see those parties who joined us continue to survive."
Ms Ardern has declined deals with minor parties - like running dead in seats they might win - to secure their parliamentary futures.
The opposition National party does just this in the seat of Epsom to benefit right-wing libertarians ACT.
James Shaw, co-leader of the Greens, says Ms Ardern's personal popularity - which skyrocketed in the wake of the government's COVID-19 handling - is "blocking out the sun".
The Greens want Ms Ardern to continue as PM, while NZ First has taken a different tack and been openly critical of Ms Ardern at times through the campaign.
"In election time, some of their collegiality dissipates a little bit," she said.
"You won't hear me reflecting any differently the experience I've had over the past three years because I think it would do a disservice to what we have been able to achieve.
"Other MMP governments, they haven't always gone the distance.
"If any government was actually going to be an iteration that was going to make it more difficult, it would be this one.
"So I am very proud of that."
The key question in the New Zealand poll seems to be whether Labour will be able to govern outright - an unprecedented result in the MMP era - or with the Greens' support.
Ms Ardern said she'd be willing to govern again with either minor party.
"I've said that I could work with either the parties. I've proven that I can," she said.
"What I'll put lots of emphasis on is, I'll be seeking a strong mandate for Labour.
"Because that, whatever iteration, ultimately becomes the anchor and creates the stability from which the government operates."