Introducing Antipa Minerals (ASX:AZY), The Stock That Zoomed 160% In The Last Five Years

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term Antipa Minerals Limited (ASX:AZY) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 160% in five years. Meanwhile the share price is 8.3% higher than it was a week ago.

Check out our latest analysis for Antipa Minerals

With just AU$543,579 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Antipa Minerals to have proven its business plan. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). For example, investors may be hoping that Antipa Minerals finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. We can see that they needed to raise more capital, and took that step recently despite the fact that it would have been dilutive to current holders. While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Antipa Minerals has already given some investors a taste of the sweet gains that high risk investing can generate, if your timing is right.

When it last reported, Antipa Minerals had minimal cash in excess of all liabilities. So it is a good thing that the company has looked to remedy the situation by raising more capital recently. Given the current cash position, investors must really like its potential for the share price to be up 82% per year, over 5 years. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Antipa Minerals's cash levels have changed over time.

ASX:AZY Historical Debt March 30th 2020
ASX:AZY Historical Debt March 30th 2020

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. Given that situation, many of the best investors like to check if insiders have been buying shares. It's usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Antipa Minerals shareholders are down 43% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 19%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 21%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 7 warning signs for Antipa Minerals (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: Antipa Minerals may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.