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Here's How Well The Best New Artist Grammy Picks Have Aged In The Past 24 Years

Is there an award more baffling than the Grammy's Best New Artist? Even according to the Academy itself, it has the most "complicated set of rules" of any award given.

Dua Lipa and Megan Thee Stallion onstage
Cbs Photo Archive / CBS via Getty Images

According to the Grammys, a "new artist" is defined as someone who has had "a breakthrough into the public consciousness and impacted the musical landscape during the year's eligibility period." So that means that you could have been releasing music for literal years; as long as you haven't been nominated for a performance Grammy before, you're good to go.

Billie Eilish holding her Grammys

So, here's a look back at the Best New Artists of the century — and what they've done since:

1.2000: Christina Aguilera

Christina Aguilera

2.2001: Shelby Lynne

Shelby Lynne with her Grammy

3.2002: Alicia Keys

Alicia Keys accepting her Grammy

4.2003: Norah Jones

Norah Jones accepting her Grammy

5.2004: Evanescence

Amy Lee accepting a Grammy

6.2005: Maroon 5

Maroon 5 holding their Grammys

7.2006: John Legend

John Legend accepting his Grammy

8.2007: Carrie Underwood

Carrie Underwood holding her Grammys

9.2008: Amy Winehouse

Amy Winehouse onstage

10.2009: Adele

Adele accepting her Grammy

11.2010: Zac Brown Band

Zac Brown Band accepting their Grammy

12.2011: Esperanza Spalding

Esperanza Spalding accepting her Grammy

13.2012: Bon Iver

Bon Iver accepting his Grammy

14.2013: Fun

Fun accepting their Grammy

15.2014: Macklemore & Ryan Lewis

Macklemore & Ryan Lewis accepting their Grammy

16.2015: Sam Smith

Sam Smith accepting their Grammy

17.2016: Meghan Trainor

Meghan Trainor accepting her Grammy

18.2017: Chance the Rapper

Chance the Rapper accepting his Grammy

19.2018: Alessia Cara

Alessia Cara accepting her Grammy

20.2019: Dua Lipa

Dua Lipa accepting her Grammy

21.2020: Billie Eilish

Billie Eilish with her Grammy

22.2021: Megan Thee Stallion

Megan Thee Stallion accepting her Grammy

23.2022: Olivia Rodrigo

Olivia Rodrigo accepting her Grammy

24.2023: Samara Joy

Samara Joy accepting her Grammy

So, who will win this year? It's between Gracie Abrams, Fred Again, Ice Spice, Jelly Roll, Coco Jones, Noah Kahan, Victoria Monét, and The War and Treaty — so we'll just have to see!