What Does dotdigital Group Plc's (LON:DOTD) Share Price Indicate?

dotdigital Group Plc (LON:DOTD), which is in the software business, and is based in United Kingdom, led the AIM gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on dotdigital Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for dotdigital Group

What's the opportunity in dotdigital Group?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that dotdigital Group’s ratio of 29.85x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 31.93x, which means if you buy dotdigital Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that dotdigital Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that dotdigital Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of dotdigital Group look like?

AIM:DOTD Past and Future Earnings, February 23rd 2020
AIM:DOTD Past and Future Earnings, February 23rd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 20% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for dotdigital Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? DOTD’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at DOTD? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DOTD, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for DOTD, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on dotdigital Group. You can find everything you need to know about dotdigital Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in dotdigital Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.