People Are Hilariously Reacting To This Shocking Presidential Poll Out Of Iowa

Matt Stopera

3 November 2024 at 2:20 pm·5-min read

Everyone (or at least the terminally online and politically obsessed) is talking about a poll out of Iowa.

Map of Iowa with major cities: Sioux City, Council Bluffs, Des Moines, Waterloo, Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, and Davenport marked — Chrupka / Getty Images/iStockphoto

Ann Selzer is a prominent and highly respected pollster. FiveThirtyEight even called her the most respected pollster in politics!

Ann Selzer discusses issues with selective poll numbers on CNN's Reliable Sources — CNN

Well, Ann just released her final presidential poll from Iowa and she has Kamala Harris with 47% of the vote to Donald Trump's 44%.

Poll results: Kamala Harris at 47%, Donald Trump at 44%, among 808 likely voters as of October 28-31 — MSNBC

These numbers are especially surprising considering how RED Iowa has become in the past few election cycles. President Biden lost Iowa to Trump by nearly 9 points.

Map of the United States showing states in red and blue — Oleksii Arseniuk / Getty Images

FWIW, Selzer has an excellent track record for polling accuracy, and Cook Report analyst Matthew Klein noted how consistently she has performed since 2012:

Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result)2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)2020 President: R+7 (R+8)2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)2016 President: R+7 (R+9)2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)2012 President: D+5 (D+6)About as good as any pollster gets. https://t.co/OfFO6ePDLy
— Matthew Klein (@MattKleinOnline) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @MattKleinOnline

She was among the only pollsters to predict Trump's 2016 win.

Selzer correctly identified late movement to Trump in 2016 and went against the grain in 2020 by finding Trump up solidly in Iowa, along with Joni Ernst.
— Drew Savicki 🦃 (@DrewSav) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @DrewSav

"The BIG thing Ann Selzer is famous for is consistently producing surprising Iowa poll results, many times incompatible with other polling - and being correct," said this election enthusiast.

For the newer members of Election Twitter, some context:The BIG thing Ann Selzer is famous for is consistently producing surprising Iowa poll results, many times incompatible with other polling - and being correct.A streak stretching nearly unbroken to at least back to 2008.
— Ethan C7 (@ECaliberSeven) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @ECaliberSeven

Well, Dems on X are certainly having a field day over this news.

love it when the timeline is libbing out together pic.twitter.com/ndJZYtMULt
— tré easton (@treeaston) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @treeaston

And here are the funniest reactions to this whole thing:

Me talking about Ann Selzer (who I found out exists one hour ago) pic.twitter.com/aGU8oLO2zx
— Ben Yahr (@benyahr) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @benyahr

Every Dem seeing the Selzer poll pic.twitter.com/Fp0KN5I3Lo
— crucial waukeitha county 🗳️ (@nagy_minaj) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @nagy_minaj

me after seeing the Selzer poll pic.twitter.com/YjIRIlH78u
— Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @ArmandDoma

pic.twitter.com/0gOvXuy6gO
— Will - Monotheletism Arc (@MassJumbo) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @MassJumbo

Polling firms all herding to the same tied results so as not to make anyone mad: “if we are all just bit wrong none of us will be really wrong” Ann Selzer: “smells like BITCH in here”
— Sky Marchini (@rhcm123) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @rhcm123

How to understand Ann Selzer’s Iowa poll pic.twitter.com/DAy5yOSpzz
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @sahilkapur

Other pollsters: “We need to herd to protect our reputations and avoid underestimating Trump again”Ann Selzer: lmfao what if Harris is winning Iowa tho
— Swann Marcus (@SwannMarcus89) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @SwannMarcus89

Other pollsters: “We need to herd to protect our reputations and avoid underestimating Trump again”Ann Selzer: lmfao what if Harris is winning Iowa tho
— Swann Marcus (@SwannMarcus89) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @SwannMarcus89

when someone wants to discuss ann selzer and her impact on polling even though I only discovered her today pic.twitter.com/D10yYIkeBN
— Abby Lee Dance Company for Kamala Harris PAC (@laxmura) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @laxmura

https://t.co/NfIvvAIT0E pic.twitter.com/V5wMfsdGsG
— Ebolaman (@ebolaman131) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @ebolaman131

pic.twitter.com/uQVHB60Khw
— organizermemes (panda era) (@OrganizerMemes) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @OrganizerMemes

Iowa out of nowhere: pic.twitter.com/AzFLVHlrO9
— ☠️ Lilith Lovett ☠️ same @ on 💙☁️🦋 (@LilithLovett) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @LilithLovett

Dems tonight pic.twitter.com/OHoteFGZEI
— Zach Shartiag (@shartiag) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @shartiag

You can not possibly understand how prepared I am for the return of Blue Iowa. pic.twitter.com/M3eEdinQHu
— Conor Rogers (@conorjrogers) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @conorjrogers

the people of Iowa yearn for MORE sex change operations for transgender illegal aliens, goddamit
— Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @ArmandDoma

Polling firms all herding to the same tied results so as not to make anyone mad: “if we are all just bit wrong none of us will be really wrong” Ann Selzer: “smells like BITCH in here”
— Sky Marchini (@rhcm123) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @rhcm123

Trust women pic.twitter.com/ffnKPe7iSu
— Andrew 🥥🌴 (@andr3w31a561) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @andr3w31a561

twitter's live reaction to the Selzer poll pic.twitter.com/ewIEUOV9Ay
— Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 (@JosephPolitano) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @JosephPolitano

liking every tweet on my timeline about the Selzer poll pic.twitter.com/WfgTORAkzV
— Slazac 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼🌐 (@TrueSlazac) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @TrueSlazac

Bringing the Selzer poll to every group chat and Slack channel like Paul Revere
— Nick Hutchins (@nicholasrhutch) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @nicholasrhutch

Me talking to Ann Selzer on November 5th pic.twitter.com/ymWL58cva9
— Renee 🪷 (@PettyLupone) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @PettyLupone

libbing out so hard that im fantasizing about a blue texas
— lauren (@lau_lauren_) November 3, 2024

Twitter: @lau_lauren_

I hate to burst everyone's bubble, but the Selzer poll was conducted entirely before Trump performed fellatio on the microphone Friday night.
— Daily Trix (@DailyTrix) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @DailyTrix

Me all year: "Polls don't matter, its all a grift, don't pay attention to them"Me tonight: "You know J. Ann Selzer is the Gold Standard of Iowa Polling"
— Kyle Tharp (@kylewilsontharp) November 2, 2024

Twitter: @kylewilsontharp

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