AUD/USD Weekly Price Forecast – Australian Dollar Continues to Stall

The Australian dollar has gone back and forth during the week, as we have shown a very neutral candlestick. The 200 week EMA has offered a significant amount of resistance for the third week in a row, but quite frankly I think at this point what we are paying attention to is the fact that the market is a little overextended. Furthermore, it is also vacation season and that tends to bring down a lot of the momentum. With that being the case, it does make sense that we will see sideways action and we could even see a little bit of a pullback.

AUD/USD Video 17.08.20

The 0.70 level should be crucial, but if we do break above the top of the shooting star from the previous week that opens up the move to the 0.75 handle, and then possibly even the 0.80 level after that. All things being equal, the Federal Reserve continues to flood the market with greenbacks and therefore I think we will continue to see the Australian dollar rallied by default. Furthermore, the Australian dollar is highly correlated gold, which of course has been on fire as of late.

Expect a lot of choppiness ahead, but quite frankly I still favor the upside as breaking above the 0.70 level was a significant milestone that the market of course will pay quite a bit of attention to. All things being equal, the US dollar looks as if it has changed its overall trend finally, and then should continue to play out here as well as many other currency pairs.

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This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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