The AFL grand final looks a likely match between Hawthorn and Fremantle.
Of course, they still need to win their respective preliminary finals next weekend but both will also start warm favourites.
More to the point, if the path to the grand final were a footrace I'd have the Dockers in front right now.
The Hawks still have to get past Geelong at the MCG, a ground that in recent times has become the Cats' home away from home.
On recent form, it's not the same Geelong team we came to know, love and respect. But as the third quarter on Friday night showed, they remain formidable.
And Hawthorn will bring their own baggage! A bit like Tiger Woods, for all that talent they've won nothing major since 2008.
Of course what happens to Paul Chapman at the AFL tribunal should also have a big say in how seriously the Hawks are challenged.
It's hard to imagine he won't be suspended.
I find it harder to make a case for Sydney. The same form line that applies to Geelong (not the same team we came to know, love and respect) applies equally to them.
But the Swans are now having to go deep into their list. Injuries (several that they've carried for almost the entire season) are biting hard. Hardly pushovers but eminently beatable.A trip to Perth and a team like Fremantle might all be a bit too much.